AUD/CAD Gap +25.1 Updated 23 Oct, 16:30 UTC

AUD/CAD: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Australian Dollar scores +5 and the Canadian Dollar scores -20 — a gap of 25 points in favour of the Australian Dollar. The widest divergence is in positioning, which favours the Australian Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the Australian Dollar against the Canadian Dollar — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

AUD/CAD STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0+25+64-7+25 AND FADING
AUD minus CAD, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the AUD side carries the edge; below, the CAD.
Strength gap
+25.1
Stronger side
AUD
Edge is
Narrowing
Scores
+5 vs -20

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is AUD minus CAD.

FactorAUDCADGap
Interest Rates +28 -25 +52.6
Growth -44 -14 -30.1
Positioning +52 -44 +96.9
Risk Mood -19 -12 -7.7
Commodities -12 +7 -19.3
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