EUR/CAD Gap -28.9 Updated 23 Oct, 16:30 UTC

EUR/CAD: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Euro scores -49 and the Canadian Dollar scores -20 — a gap of 29 points in favour of the Canadian Dollar. The widest divergence is in interest rates, which favours the Canadian Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

EUR/CAD STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0-29+27-34-29 AND HOLDING
EUR minus CAD, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the EUR side carries the edge; below, the CAD.
Strength gap
-28.9
Stronger side
CAD
Edge is
Widening
Scores
-49 vs -20

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is EUR minus CAD.

FactorEURCADGap
Interest Rates -72 -25 -47.5
Growth — -14 +13.5
Positioning -50 -44 -5.2
Risk Mood +0 -12 +11.5
Commodities — +7 -7.1
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