EUR/GBP Gap -24.5 Updated 12 Oct, 04:28 UTC

EUR/GBP: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Euro scores -39 and the British Pound scores -14 — a gap of 24 points in favour of the British Pound. The widest divergence is in interest rates, which favours the British Pound. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the British Pound against the Euro — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

EUR/GBP STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0-24+7-46-24 AND FADING
EUR minus GBP, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the EUR side carries the edge; below, the GBP.
Strength gap
-24.5
Stronger side
GBP
Edge is
Widening
Scores
-39 vs -14

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is EUR minus GBP.

FactorEURGBPGap
Interest Rates -66 -31 -35.2
Positioning -27 -6 -20.5
Risk Mood -0 +9 -8.8
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