GBP #6 of 8 Updated 5 Oct, 16:49 UTC

British Pound

The British Pound is under pressure, ranking #6 of eight with a score of -31. Positioning is a clear headwind — speculative futures traders are heavily net-short the British Pound, among the most bearish readings in years. That adds selling pressure, though such crowded shorts can snap back quickly. The trend is negative — the score has dropped 9 points over recent weeks. On a valuation basis, it looks cheap versus its own one-year range, which may help cushion the downside from here.

GBP MACRO STRENGTH1Y · MACRO SCORE-31+14-31-31 AND FADING
Composite macro score over the past year. Range −100 to +100; zero is the middle of the pack.
Score
-31
Rank
#6 of 8
Trend
Weakening -8.6
Price, 3 months
-1.4%

The five factors

Interest Rates -31
Positioning -59
Risk Mood +7

Partial data this run: monetary.

Model versus price

{'state': 'inline', 'label': 'Broadly in line', 'detail': 'No strong divergence: the -31 fundamental read and the -1.4% three-month move against the dollar are roughly consistent.'}

The readings behind it

IndicatorLatestAs of
10-year yield4.99% 2026-08-01
Real 10-year (after inflation)+0.79% (4.2% CPI) 2026-08-01
Fund positioning8th pctile 2026-09-29
3-month move vs USD-1.4% None
Valuation (vs 1-yr norm)historically cheap None

Strength gap against the other majors

A positive gap means the British Pound scores higher than the other side of the pair right now.

PairGapStronger side
EUR/GBP +9.7 GBP
GBP/CHF +5.8 GBP
GBP/CAD -17.0 CAD
GBP/USD -35.1 USD
GBP/AUD -48.7 AUD
GBP/NZD -57.0 NZD
GBP/JPY -69.5 JPY