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EUR/USD

Fundamentals favour the US Dollar by 17 points.

EUR Euro -6 Neutral · #5
vs
USD US Dollar +12 Neutral · #2

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Euro scores -6 and the US Dollar scores +12 — a gap of 17 points in favour of the US Dollar. The widest divergence is in growth, which favours the US Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the US Dollar against the Euro — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

Pillar comparison

Which currency wins each macro driver
DriverEURUSDEdge
Interest Rates -17 +15 USD
Growth +34 USD
Positioning +8 +12 USD
Risk Mood -0 -24 EUR
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