GBP/USD
Fundamentals favour the US Dollar by 22 points.
On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the British Pound scores -10 and the US Dollar scores +12 — a gap of 22 points in favour of the US Dollar. The widest divergence is in growth, which favours the US Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the US Dollar against the British Pound — though markets may already have priced much of it in.
Pillar comparison
Which currency wins each macro driver| Driver | GBP | USD | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rates | +6 | +15 | USD |
| Growth | -43 | +34 | USD |
| Positioning | -16 | +12 | USD |
| Risk Mood | +8 | -24 | GBP |